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The Escalation of War in Ethiopia
Summary
The article argues that Ethiopia’s renewed war is driven by elite hubris, ethnic federalism, and foreign meddling, warning that civilians bear the brunt and peace deals are fragile.
- Elite elites choose war over peace, using identity politics and collective punishment.
- Ethnic federalism institutionalizes division, making ethnic identity a political mobilizer.
- Foreign powers exploit Ethiopia’s weakness, extending conflict duration.
- Civilian death toll may be up to 600,000, highlighting humanitarian catastrophe.




